With the US elections as a backdrop, ASPI USA ran a scenario-building exercise in mid-October about the role of the United States in the Indo-Pacific over the next four years. ASPI analysts and six government, business, and academic experts considered a range of factors, identified key drivers, and sketched four possible futures for US engagement.

A forthcoming workshop report will describe the scenarios, which emphasize strategic competition with China and regional and global demands for US attention.